Monmouth Hawks 77, Elon Phoenix 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Monmouth Hawks
Monmouth Hawks defeated Elon Phoenix 77–62 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:38 swung win probability 48% → 11%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Elon Phoenix lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth Hawks | 14 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 77 |
| Elon Phoenix | 15 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:38 swung win probability 48% → 11%.
Why Elon Phoenix lost
- Lost Q2 13-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 8:30 (win probability 30% → 0% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth Hawks | 8–0 | Q2 8:39 | 81% → 52% |
| Monmouth Hawks | 8–0 | Q3 6:38 | 48% → 11% |
| Monmouth Hawks | 10–0 | Q4 8:30 | 30% → 0% |