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Alabama State Lady Hornets 61, Southern Jaguars 57

NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Alabama State Lady Hornets

Alabama State Lady Hornets defeated Southern Jaguars 61–57 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:52 swung win probability 3% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Jaguars lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alabama State Lady Hornets1317151661
Southern Jaguars1611111957

Win probability

Southern Jaguars win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Southern Jaguars) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:52 swung win probability 3% → 33%.
Why Southern Jaguars lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Southern Jaguars8–0Q4 4:523% → 33%

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