Mercyhurst Lakers 77, Chicago State Cougars 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Mercyhurst Lakers
Mercyhurst Lakers defeated Chicago State Cougars 77–76 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:20 swung win probability 58% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Chicago State Cougars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 16 | 18 | 23 | 20 | 77 |
| Chicago State Cougars | 28 | 11 | 20 | 17 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:20 swung win probability 58% → 91%.
Why Chicago State Cougars lost
- Lost Q2 11-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 2:30 (win probability 88% → 59% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago State Cougars | 9–0 | Q1 2:07 | 78% → 96% |
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 8–0 | Q2 2:30 | 88% → 59% |
| Chicago State Cougars | 8–0 | Q3 6:20 | 58% → 91% |