Southern Jaguars 60, Baylor Bears 77
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-18 · Winner: Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears defeated Southern Jaguars 77–60 on 2025-12-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:03 swung win probability 87% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 14 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 60 |
| Baylor Bears | 17 | 18 | 23 | 19 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:03 swung win probability 87% → 100%.
Why Southern Jaguars lost
- Lost Q2 11-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 1:03 (win probability 87% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.9% eFG vs a 41.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Bears | 11–0 | Q3 1:03 | 87% → 100% |