South Carolina Upstate Spartans 49, Charleston Southern Buccaneers 60
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Charleston Southern Buccaneers defeated South Carolina Upstate Spartans 60–49 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:28 swung win probability 34% → 80%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Carolina Upstate Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 16 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 49 |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 18 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:28 swung win probability 34% → 80%.
Why South Carolina Upstate Spartans lost
- Lost Q4 8-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 1:29 (win probability 31% → 65% for the home side).
- Shot 36.3% eFG vs a 45.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-14.
- Outscored 14-4 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 9–0 | Q1 1:29 | 31% → 65% |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 8–0 | Q3 2:28 | 34% → 80% |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 8–0 | Q4 8:30 | 76% → 99% |