Winthrop Eagles 53, Virginia Cavaliers 88
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Winthrop Eagles 88–53 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 35-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:38 swung win probability 65% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Winthrop Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Eagles | 6 | 16 | 19 | 12 | 53 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 17 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:38 swung win probability 65% → 91%.
Why Winthrop Eagles lost
- Lost Q4 12-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 6:17 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.7% eFG vs a 44.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | Q1 1:38 | 65% → 91% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 16–0 | Q4 6:17 | 100% → 100% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 9–0 | Q4 3:36 | 100% → 100% |