Mercyhurst Lakers 40, Syracuse Orange 106
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: Syracuse Orange
Syracuse Orange defeated Mercyhurst Lakers 106–40 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 66-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:55 swung win probability 88% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mercyhurst Lakers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers | 12 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40 |
| Syracuse Orange | 32 | 26 | 27 | 21 | 106 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:55 swung win probability 88% → 99%.
Why Mercyhurst Lakers lost
- Lost Q1 12-32 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 7:49 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.5% eFG vs a 46.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-14.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 10–0 | Q1 1:55 | 88% → 99% |
| Syracuse Orange | 11–0 | Q2 2:56 | 100% → 100% |
| Syracuse Orange | 9–0 | Q3 4:10 | 100% → 100% |
| Syracuse Orange | 16–0 | Q4 7:49 | 100% → 100% |
| Syracuse Orange | 8–0 | Q4 4:53 | 100% → 100% |
| Syracuse Orange | 9–0 | Q4 1:05 | 100% → 100% |