Southern Jaguars 62, SMU Mustangs 74
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs defeated Southern Jaguars 74–62 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:37 swung win probability 55% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 8 | 17 | 16 | 21 | 62 |
| SMU Mustangs | 18 | 22 | 14 | 20 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:37 swung win probability 55% → 86%.
Why Southern Jaguars lost
- Lost Q1 8-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 2:37 (win probability 55% → 86% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-17.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 10–0 | Q1 2:37 | 55% → 86% |