SMU Mustangs 73, Sam Houston Bearkats 69
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs defeated Sam Houston Bearkats 73–69 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:47 swung win probability 3% → 44%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sam Houston Bearkats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 18 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 73 |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 14 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:47 swung win probability 3% → 44%.
Why Sam Houston Bearkats lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:55 (win probability 52% → 17% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 9–0 | Q2 6:55 | 52% → 17% |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 8–0 | Q3 4:36 | 20% → 58% |
| Sam Houston Bearkats | 9–0 | Q4 4:47 | 3% → 44% |