Colgate Raiders 50, Holy Cross Crusaders 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Holy Cross Crusaders
Holy Cross Crusaders defeated Colgate Raiders 60–50 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at OT 1:29 swung win probability 55% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colgate Raiders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate Raiders | 4 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 50 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 14 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at OT 1:29 swung win probability 55% → 100%.
Why Colgate Raiders lost
- Lost Q1 4-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 0:11 (win probability 56% → 90% for the home side).
- Shot 33.1% eFG vs a 39.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-15.
- Outscored 19-3 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 12–0 | Q1 0:11 | 56% → 90% |
| Colgate Raiders | 9–0 | Q2 4:51 | 90% → 65% |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 9–0 | OT 1:29 | 55% → 100% |