Lafayette Leopards 48, Holy Cross Crusaders 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Holy Cross Crusaders
Holy Cross Crusaders defeated Lafayette Leopards 70–48 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:50 swung win probability 69% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 13 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 48 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 18 | 14 | 9 | 29 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:50 swung win probability 69% → 93%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q4 15-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 4:34 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.0% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 9–0 | Q2 7:50 | 69% → 93% |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 9–0 | Q3 5:09 | 87% → 100% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 10–0 | Q4 9:46 | 100% → 90% |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 9–0 | Q4 8:27 | 90% → 100% |
| Holy Cross Crusaders | 11–0 | Q4 4:34 | 100% → 100% |