Lafayette Leopards 46, Navy Midshipmen 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Navy Midshipmen
Navy Midshipmen defeated Lafayette Leopards 62–46 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q2 0:55 swung win probability 82% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 11 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 46 |
| Navy Midshipmen | 19 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q2 0:55 swung win probability 82% → 100%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q2 2-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 0:55 (win probability 82% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 27.0% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy Midshipmen | 15–0 | Q2 0:55 | 82% → 100% |
| Navy Midshipmen | 14–0 | Q3 5:12 | 100% → 100% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 8–0 | Q4 5:29 | 100% → 100% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 8–0 | Q4 1:02 | 100% → 100% |