American University Eagles 68, Navy Midshipmen 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Navy Midshipmen
Navy Midshipmen defeated American University Eagles 86–68 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:24 swung win probability 69% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why American University Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 6 | 15 | 21 | 26 | 68 |
| Navy Midshipmen | 22 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:24 swung win probability 69% → 98%.
Why American University Eagles lost
- Lost Q1 6-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q1 2:24 (win probability 69% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy Midshipmen | 16–0 | Q1 2:24 | 69% → 98% |
| American University Eagles | 8–0 | Q3 8:33 | 100% → 99% |
| American University Eagles | 10–0 | Q4 3:50 | 100% → 100% |
| Navy Midshipmen | 9–0 | Q4 0:59 | 100% → 100% |