Santa Clara Broncos 91, Grand Canyon Lopes 72
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Santa Clara Broncos
Santa Clara Broncos defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 91–72 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:14 swung win probability 54% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara Broncos | 27 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 91 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 20 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:14 swung win probability 54% → 5%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost Q4 12-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 7:14 (win probability 54% → 5% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-12.
- Outscored 25-16 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara Broncos | 9–0 | Q1 2:21 | 58% → 23% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 10–0 | Q2 6:59 | 26% → 64% |
| Santa Clara Broncos | 12–0 | Q3 7:14 | 54% → 5% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | Q3 2:20 | 6% → 37% |
| Santa Clara Broncos | 8–0 | Q4 6:46 | 31% → 1% |