Alabama State Lady Hornets 57, Mississippi State Bulldogs 105
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Alabama State Lady Hornets 105–57 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 48-point result. A 18-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:06 swung win probability 97% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Alabama State Lady Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama State Lady Hornets | 10 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 57 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 34 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 105 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 18-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:06 swung win probability 97% → 100%.
Why Alabama State Lady Hornets lost
- Lost Q1 10-34 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q2 6:06 (win probability 97% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-9.
- Outscored 20-12 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 22-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 18–0 | Q2 6:06 | 97% → 100% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q2 1:41 | 100% → 100% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q3 6:00 | 100% → 100% |
| Alabama State Lady Hornets | 8–0 | Q4 2:19 | 100% → 100% |