Southern Miss Lady Eagles 64, Mississippi State Bulldogs 87
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Southern Miss Lady Eagles 87–64 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:15 swung win probability 58% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles | 10 | 18 | 14 | 22 | 64 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 21 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:15 swung win probability 58% → 92%.
Why Southern Miss Lady Eagles lost
- Lost Q3 14-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 6:29 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 15-6 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 12–0 | Q1 3:15 | 58% → 92% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 15–0 | Q3 6:29 | 93% → 100% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q3 4:47 | 100% → 100% |