Cal State East Bay Pioneers 55, Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 67
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners defeated Cal State East Bay Pioneers 67–55 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:31 swung win probability 38% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State East Bay Pioneers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State East Bay Pioneers | 19 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 55 |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 16 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:31 swung win probability 38% → 98%.
Why Cal State East Bay Pioneers lost
- Lost Q4 11-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 7:31 (win probability 38% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 33-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State East Bay Pioneers | 11–0 | Q2 7:44 | 76% → 31% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9–0 | Q3 5:55 | 19% → 64% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 12–0 | Q4 7:31 | 38% → 98% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q4 0:46 | 99% → 100% |