Saint Francis Red Flash 51, Xavier Musketeers 63
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: Xavier Musketeers
Xavier Musketeers defeated Saint Francis Red Flash 63–51 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:44 swung win probability 86% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Francis Red Flash lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 11 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 51 |
| Xavier Musketeers | 16 | 11 | 22 | 14 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:44 swung win probability 86% → 100%.
Why Saint Francis Red Flash lost
- Lost Q3 9-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 6:44 (win probability 86% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Musketeers | 14–0 | Q3 6:44 | 86% → 100% |
| Xavier Musketeers | 12–0 | Q4 8:49 | 100% → 100% |
| Saint Francis Red Flash | 12–0 | Q4 4:51 | 100% → 100% |