Jacksonville Dolphins 49, TCU Horned Frogs 89
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs defeated Jacksonville Dolphins 89–49 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 40-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:54 swung win probability 90% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Jacksonville Dolphins lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 12 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 49 |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 16 | 17 | 27 | 29 | 89 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q3 3:54 swung win probability 90% → 100%.
Why Jacksonville Dolphins lost
- Lost Q3 9-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 4:43 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 21.9% eFG vs a 43.9% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU Horned Frogs | 14–0 | Q3 3:54 | 90% → 100% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 16–0 | Q4 4:43 | 100% → 100% |