Navy Midshipmen 74, South Florida Bulls 86
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls defeated Navy Midshipmen 86–74 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:03 swung win probability 97% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Navy Midshipmen lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy Midshipmen | 17 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 74 |
| South Florida Bulls | 17 | 28 | 19 | 22 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:03 swung win probability 97% → 58%.
Why Navy Midshipmen lost
- Lost Q2 19-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 7:55 (win probability 81% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navy Midshipmen | 12–0 | Q3 6:03 | 97% → 58% |
| South Florida Bulls | 9–0 | Q4 7:55 | 81% → 100% |