William & Mary Tribe 81, Stetson Hatters 75
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-19 · Winner: William & Mary Tribe
William & Mary Tribe defeated Stetson Hatters 81–75 on 2025-12-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:33 swung win probability 97% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Stetson Hatters lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 14 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 81 |
| Stetson Hatters | 21 | 17 | 22 | 15 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:33 swung win probability 97% → 4%.
Why Stetson Hatters lost
- Lost Q4 15-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 1:33 (win probability 97% → 4% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-7.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | 8–0 | Q1 1:33 | 86% → 61% |
| Stetson Hatters | 10–0 | Q2 9:50 | 61% → 91% |
| Stetson Hatters | 9–0 | Q4 8:30 | 25% → 82% |
| William & Mary Tribe | 11–0 | Q4 1:33 | 97% → 4% |