American University Eagles 63, VCU Rams 69
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-16 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated American University Eagles 69–63 on 2025-12-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:18 swung win probability 42% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why American University Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American University Eagles | 13 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 63 |
| VCU Rams | 18 | 14 | 13 | 24 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:18 swung win probability 42% → 100%.
Why American University Eagles lost
- Lost Q4 15-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 0:49 (win probability 50% → 79% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | Q1 0:49 | 50% → 79% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | Q4 0:18 | 42% → 100% |