Ball State Cardinals 59, South Dakota State Jackrabbits 78
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: South Dakota State Jackrabbits
South Dakota State Jackrabbits defeated Ball State Cardinals 78–59 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:42 swung win probability 54% → 87%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Ball State Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 13 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 19 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:42 swung win probability 54% → 87%.
Why Ball State Cardinals lost
- Lost Q1 13-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 9:42 (win probability 54% → 87% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 27-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 8–0 | Q1 6:45 | 48% → 75% |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 10–0 | Q2 9:42 | 54% → 87% |