UNC Asheville Bulldogs 62, Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: UNC Asheville Bulldogs
UNC Asheville Bulldogs defeated Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 62–51 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:20 swung win probability 12% → 51%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 18 | 9 | 23 | 12 | 62 |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 11 | 12 | 17 | 11 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 4:20 swung win probability 12% → 51%.
Why Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q1 11-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 6:28 (win probability 28% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 37.3% eFG vs a 44.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q1 5:54 | 81% → 50% |
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q1 1:26 | 62% → 25% |
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q3 8:01 | 42% → 9% |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q3 4:20 | 12% → 51% |
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 14–0 | Q4 6:28 | 28% → 0% |