UNC Asheville Bulldogs 61, East Carolina Pirates 75
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates defeated UNC Asheville Bulldogs 75–61 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:31 swung win probability 39% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Asheville Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 14 | 14 | 19 | 14 | 61 |
| East Carolina Pirates | 11 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:31 swung win probability 39% → 97%.
Why UNC Asheville Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q4 14-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 5:31 (win probability 39% → 97% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-12.
- Outscored 26-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q1 4:54 | 69% → 39% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 8–0 | Q3 8:57 | 31% → 69% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 9–0 | Q4 5:31 | 39% → 97% |