Evansville Purple Aces 66, Dayton Flyers 75
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Evansville Purple Aces 75–66 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 0:08 swung win probability 50% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Evansville Purple Aces lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evansville Purple Aces | 20 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 66 |
| Dayton Flyers | 21 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 0:08 swung win probability 50% → 84%.
Why Evansville Purple Aces lost
- Lost Q3 14-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 5:30 (win probability 77% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 40.6% eFG vs a 45.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evansville Purple Aces | 8–0 | Q2 2:21 | 83% → 50% |
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | Q2 0:08 | 50% → 84% |
| Dayton Flyers | 11–0 | Q3 5:30 | 77% → 99% |