Fairfield Stags 81, Siena Saints 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Siena Saints 81–51 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:12 swung win probability 55% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Siena Saints lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 26 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 81 |
| Siena Saints | 13 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:12 swung win probability 55% → 23%.
Why Siena Saints lost
- Lost Q1 13-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 6:12 (win probability 55% → 23% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 42.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q1 6:12 | 55% → 23% |
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | Q2 1:25 | 10% → 1% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q3 0:45 | 0% → 0% |