Siena Saints 50, Fairfield Stags 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-19 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Siena Saints 86–50 on 2026-01-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 36-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:12 swung win probability 72% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Siena Saints lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena Saints | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 50 |
| Fairfield Stags | 23 | 28 | 21 | 14 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:12 swung win probability 72% → 91%.
Why Siena Saints lost
- Lost Q2 10-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 1:55 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 27.3% eFG vs a 42.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | Q1 6:12 | 72% → 91% |
| Fairfield Stags | 15–0 | Q2 1:55 | 99% → 100% |
| Siena Saints | 9–0 | Q4 4:14 | 100% → 100% |
| Siena Saints | 8–0 | Q4 0:11 | 100% → 100% |