Merrimack Warriors 65, Fairfield Stags 84
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Merrimack Warriors 84–65 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:30 swung win probability 82% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Merrimack Warriors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 14 | 16 | 24 | 11 | 65 |
| Fairfield Stags | 24 | 23 | 13 | 24 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:30 swung win probability 82% → 99%.
Why Merrimack Warriors lost
- Lost Q4 11-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 4:00 (win probability 89% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 13–0 | Q2 6:30 | 82% → 99% |
| Fairfield Stags | 14–0 | Q4 4:00 | 89% → 100% |