Florida State Seminoles 77, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-01 · Winner: Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 77–74 on 2026-03-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:15 swung win probability 75% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 19 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 77 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:15 swung win probability 75% → 34%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 7:15 (win probability 75% → 34% for the home side).
- Outscored 15-3 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-6.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 8–0 | Q1 2:57 | 87% → 66% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 11–0 | Q2 7:15 | 75% → 34% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10–0 | Q2 1:59 | 40% → 79% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 9–0 | Q3 7:57 | 79% → 40% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8–0 | Q3 2:02 | 39% → 78% |