Florida State Seminoles 52, Duke Blue Devils 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Florida State Seminoles 80–52 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 28-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:16 swung win probability 55% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida State Seminoles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 20 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 52 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 17 | 16 | 22 | 25 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:16 swung win probability 55% → 86%.
Why Florida State Seminoles lost
- Lost Q4 12-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q4 5:13 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 35.7% eFG vs a 43.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 8–0 | Q1 7:14 | 75% → 47% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q2 2:16 | 55% → 86% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 16–0 | Q4 5:13 | 100% → 100% |