California Golden Bears 75, Florida State Seminoles 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated Florida State Seminoles 75–62 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:10 swung win probability 90% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida State Seminoles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 16 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 75 |
| Florida State Seminoles | 18 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:10 swung win probability 90% → 33%.
Why Florida State Seminoles lost
- Lost Q4 9-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 9:10 (win probability 90% → 33% for the home side).
- Shot 37.1% eFG vs a 43.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 10–0 | Q3 8:32 | 39% → 85% |
| California Golden Bears | 9–0 | Q4 9:10 | 90% → 33% |