Pittsburgh Panthers 78, SMU Mustangs 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs defeated Pittsburgh Panthers 79–78 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:25 swung win probability 100% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pittsburgh Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 13 | 12 | 27 | 26 | 78 |
| SMU Mustangs | 25 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:25 swung win probability 100% → 64%.
Why Pittsburgh Panthers lost
- Lost Q1 13-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 0:23 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 8–0 | Q2 5:48 | 94% → 99% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 10–0 | Q2 3:51 | 99% → 92% |
| SMU Mustangs | 11–0 | Q2 0:23 | 92% → 100% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 11–0 | Q3 1:24 | 100% → 98% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 15–0 | Q4 5:25 | 100% → 64% |