Florida State Seminoles 65, Louisville Cardinals 88
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-15 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated Florida State Seminoles 88–65 on 2026-02-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:45 swung win probability 69% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida State Seminoles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 10 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 65 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 19 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:45 swung win probability 69% → 92%.
Why Florida State Seminoles lost
- Lost Q1 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 5:37 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | Q1 2:45 | 69% → 92% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | Q2 5:21 | 79% → 96% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | Q3 9:44 | 91% → 99% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 10–0 | Q4 5:37 | 100% → 100% |