Virginia Cavaliers 58, California Golden Bears 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated Virginia Cavaliers 64–58 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:06 swung win probability 98% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Cavaliers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 15 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 58 |
| California Golden Bears | 17 | 28 | 8 | 11 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:06 swung win probability 98% → 72%.
Why Virginia Cavaliers lost
- Lost Q2 14-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Shot 39.7% eFG vs a 49.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q3 6:31 | 99% → 91% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q4 7:06 | 98% → 72% |