Wake Forest Demon Deacons 70, SMU Mustangs 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest Demon Deacons defeated SMU Mustangs 70–65 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:29 swung win probability 92% → 31%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 17 | 13 | 15 | 25 | 70 |
| SMU Mustangs | 16 | 14 | 20 | 15 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:29 swung win probability 92% → 31%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Lost Q4 15-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 7:29 (win probability 92% → 31% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9–0 | Q3 9:47 | 86% → 49% |
| SMU Mustangs | 9–0 | Q3 4:36 | 42% → 86% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10–0 | Q4 7:29 | 92% → 31% |