Virginia Cavaliers 109, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 103
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers defeated Wake Forest Demon Deacons 109–103 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT3 3:18 swung win probability 72% → 3%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | OT2 | OT3 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 14 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 109 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 13 | 12 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 103 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT3 3:18 swung win probability 72% → 3%.
Why Wake Forest Demon Deacons lost
- Lost Q2 12-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 2:24 (win probability 63% → 16% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 23-6.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 14–0 | Q2 2:24 | 63% → 16% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9–0 | Q3 8:33 | 9% → 31% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 11–0 | Q4 9:17 | 4% → 28% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8–0 | OT2 4:19 | 24% → 76% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | OT3 3:18 | 72% → 3% |