Notre Dame Fighting Irish 69, California Golden Bears 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: California Golden Bears
California Golden Bears defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 80–69 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:41 swung win probability 69% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 20 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 69 |
| California Golden Bears | 24 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:41 swung win probability 69% → 97%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost Q2 13-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 3:03 (win probability 82% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 44.1% eFG vs a 51.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 22-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 8–0 | Q3 0:41 | 69% → 97% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8–0 | Q4 5:48 | 99% → 80% |
| California Golden Bears | 9–0 | Q4 3:03 | 82% → 100% |