Duke Blue Devils 74, Miami Hurricanes 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Miami Hurricanes 74–58 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:27 swung win probability 34% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Hurricanes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 21 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 74 |
| Miami Hurricanes | 9 | 14 | 27 | 8 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q4 2:27 swung win probability 34% → 0%.
Why Miami Hurricanes lost
- Lost Q1 9-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 2:27 (win probability 34% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 42.0% eFG vs a 48.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q1 2:58 | 54% → 23% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q2 3:09 | 22% → 3% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 12–0 | Q4 2:27 | 34% → 0% |