Florida State Seminoles 73, SMU Mustangs 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles defeated SMU Mustangs 73–51 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:37 swung win probability 54% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 16 | 14 | 24 | 19 | 73 |
| SMU Mustangs | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at Q3 7:37 swung win probability 54% → 2%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Lost Q3 13-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q3 7:37 (win probability 54% → 2% for the home side).
- Shot 36.4% eFG vs a 42.4% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 11–0 | Q1 3:03 | 75% → 34% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 16–0 | Q3 7:37 | 54% → 2% |