Virginia Tech Hokies 79, SMU Mustangs 42
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech Hokies defeated SMU Mustangs 79–42 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 37-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 9:37 swung win probability 53% → 21%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 16 | 16 | 25 | 22 | 79 |
| SMU Mustangs | 8 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 9:37 swung win probability 53% → 21%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Lost Q4 9-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 8:25 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 25.0% eFG vs a 42.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 8–0 | Q1 7:03 | 69% → 39% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 8–0 | Q2 9:37 | 53% → 21% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 11–0 | Q3 8:42 | 12% → 0% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 15–0 | Q4 8:25 | 0% → 0% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 9–0 | Q4 3:01 | 0% → 0% |