Miami Hurricanes 62, North Carolina Tar Heels 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated Miami Hurricanes 73–62 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:09 swung win probability 37% → 82%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Miami Hurricanes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 13 | 21 | 12 | 16 | 62 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 15 | 17 | 24 | 17 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:09 swung win probability 37% → 82%.
Why Miami Hurricanes lost
- Lost Q3 12-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 6:09 (win probability 37% → 82% for the home side).
- Shot 41.0% eFG vs a 48.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9–0 | Q3 6:09 | 37% → 82% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | Q3 0:09 | 69% → 98% |