Florida State Seminoles 69, Pittsburgh Panthers 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles defeated Pittsburgh Panthers 69–65 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:14 swung win probability 76% → 21%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pittsburgh Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 16 | 18 | 22 | 13 | 69 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 16 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:14 swung win probability 76% → 21%.
Why Pittsburgh Panthers lost
- Lost Q2 12-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 0:14 (win probability 76% → 21% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-12.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State Seminoles | 9–0 | Q1 5:03 | 69% → 35% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 10–0 | Q1 0:13 | 24% → 61% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 10–0 | Q2 5:03 | 35% → 76% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 12–0 | Q2 0:14 | 76% → 21% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 9–0 | Q3 0:02 | 43% → 3% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 8–0 | Q4 7:08 | 3% → 30% |