Syracuse Orange 79, Virginia Cavaliers 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Syracuse Orange
Syracuse Orange defeated Virginia Cavaliers 79–60 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 6:41 swung win probability 40% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Virginia Cavaliers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse Orange | 12 | 16 | 23 | 28 | 79 |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 17 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 6:41 swung win probability 40% → 2%.
Why Virginia Cavaliers lost
- Lost Q4 11-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 0:28 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Cavaliers | 11–0 | Q1 3:37 | 44% → 81% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 8–0 | Q3 6:10 | 53% → 89% |
| Syracuse Orange | 8–0 | Q4 6:41 | 40% → 2% |
| Syracuse Orange | 11–0 | Q4 0:28 | 0% → 0% |