North Carolina Tar Heels 50, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish defeated North Carolina Tar Heels 73–50 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:34 swung win probability 95% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Carolina Tar Heels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 9 | 18 | 5 | 18 | 50 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 15 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:34 swung win probability 95% → 100%.
Why North Carolina Tar Heels lost
- Lost Q3 5-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 2:34 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.2% eFG vs a 51.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10–0 | Q3 2:34 | 95% → 100% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9–0 | Q4 8:45 | 100% → 100% |