Notre Dame Fighting Irish 68, Duke Blue Devils 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils defeated Notre Dame Fighting Irish 82–68 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:21 swung win probability 47% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 17 | 17 | 14 | 20 | 68 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 26 | 17 | 16 | 23 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:21 swung win probability 47% → 88%.
Why Notre Dame Fighting Irish lost
- Lost Q1 17-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 3:21 (win probability 47% → 88% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 13–0 | Q1 3:21 | 47% → 88% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12–0 | Q3 9:52 | 99% → 84% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 8–0 | Q3 6:53 | 84% → 98% |