SMU Mustangs 58, Louisville Cardinals 91
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals defeated SMU Mustangs 91–58 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 33-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:15 swung win probability 69% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 58 |
| Louisville Cardinals | 19 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 91 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:15 swung win probability 69% → 98%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Lost Q2 13-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 6:15 (win probability 69% → 98% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-3.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals | 14–0 | Q2 6:15 | 69% → 98% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 9–0 | Q3 6:42 | 100% → 100% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 8–0 | Q3 4:10 | 100% → 100% |
| SMU Mustangs | 9–0 | Q4 0:04 | 100% → 100% |