California Golden Bears 55, North Carolina Tar Heels 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated California Golden Bears 71–55 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:17 swung win probability 84% → 40%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why California Golden Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 17 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 55 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 14 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:17 swung win probability 84% → 40%.
Why California Golden Bears lost
- Lost Q4 8-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 6:59 (win probability 76% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| California Golden Bears | 12–0 | Q1 0:17 | 84% → 40% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 8–0 | Q4 6:59 | 76% → 100% |