SMU Mustangs 57, Stanford Cardinal 87
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated SMU Mustangs 87–57 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:49 swung win probability 69% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why SMU Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU Mustangs | 6 | 23 | 14 | 14 | 57 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 31 | 19 | 22 | 15 | 87 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:49 swung win probability 69% → 90%.
Why SMU Mustangs lost
- Lost Q1 6-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q1 0:53 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 19-12.
- Outscored 13-4 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q1 5:49 | 69% → 90% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 14–0 | Q1 0:53 | 94% → 100% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 13–0 | Q4 8:47 | 100% → 100% |