Stanford Cardinal 77, Florida State Seminoles 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-22 · Winner: Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Cardinal defeated Florida State Seminoles 77–61 on 2026-02-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:40 swung win probability 39% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida State Seminoles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 23 | 18 | 13 | 23 | 77 |
| Florida State Seminoles | 14 | 8 | 21 | 18 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:40 swung win probability 39% → 5%.
Why Florida State Seminoles lost
- Lost Q2 8-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 3:40 (win probability 39% → 5% for the home side).
- Shot 31.9% eFG vs a 43.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q1 4:55 | 54% → 25% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 11–0 | Q2 3:40 | 39% → 5% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 8–0 | Q3 6:15 | 0% → 2% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 8–0 | Q4 2:35 | 2% → 0% |